Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 79.923762 89.552505 99.373150 110.107618 121.480264 133.141416 145.973462
2025-08-10 65.321947 79.259907 94.087027 110.906911 129.336835 148.806376 170.820839
2025-08-17 55.456695 71.642814 89.424787 110.148200 133.392595 158.442188 187.266786
2025-08-24 48.471313 66.285163 86.421522 110.433515 137.889370 167.951944 203.020570
2025-08-31 42.040838 60.846891 82.703762 109.335025 140.323944 174.738271 215.363588
2025-09-07 37.970855 57.800698 81.411776 110.706961 145.288852 184.131773 230.417259
2025-09-14 34.675993 55.384576 80.605431 112.416687 150.449739 193.593337 245.419266
2025-09-21 30.605414 51.624116 77.873958 111.575748 152.414008 199.217203 255.904660
2025-09-28 26.398501 47.322375 74.179482 109.312635 152.478992 202.466779 263.512185
2025-10-05 25.289265 47.112652 75.604113 113.298682 159.993284 214.395583 281.148715
2025-10-12 23.673589 46.054146 75.827493 115.702998 165.533246 223.961433 296.012357
2025-10-19 21.115265 43.437665 73.848565 115.197449 167.419917 229.124188 305.666105
2025-10-26 18.597681 40.701030 71.598834 114.281563 168.781348 233.680281 314.665567
2025-11-02 16.835873 38.964081 70.607707 114.919892 172.024002 240.466598 326.293929
2025-11-09 14.813285 36.624976 68.644778 114.173723 173.444652 244.987675 335.179273
2025-11-16 13.290009 34.951682 67.520426 114.460487 176.110856 250.979269 345.790268
2025-11-23 11.528009 32.689465 65.422080 113.339792 176.907475 254.631069 353.552734
2025-11-30 10.578201 31.758107 65.213148 114.740226 180.909629 262.200166 366.022647
2025-12-07 9.790360 31.043410 65.279438 116.485417 185.337141 270.284634 379.115205
2025-12-14 8.478058 29.186617 63.519125 115.627069 186.325208 274.070893 386.970835
2025-12-21 7.002572 26.794206 60.796935 113.316836 185.331177 275.329178 391.701687
2025-12-28 6.906715 27.255536 62.571477 117.385604 192.763614 287.141932 409.341694
2026-01-04 6.511400 27.028743 63.223984 119.839219 198.050827 296.265953 423.700381